Tuesday

Apartment Sector Remains the Darling of Commercial Real Estate

Preliminary Trends – Reis Publishes Q2 Data Aug. 1, 2012

REIS - The strong performance of the apartment sector continued unabated in the second quarter of 2012 as national vacancies fell by another 20 basis points to 4.7%.  For two consecutive quarters the national vacancy rate has been marching below the benchmark 5% level used as a heuristic by apartment landlords for rent increases when the market tightens.


Net absorption remained relatively strong, with 25,540 units leasing up.  This represents a slowdown from the first quarter’s net absorption of 34,448 units, but the moderation in vacancy compression is not unexpected.  When the market tightens and vacancy reaches very low levels, landlords shift their strategy for growing revenue from vacancy decline to accelerating rent increases.  As a result, national asking and effective rent growth have started to accelerate.  With availability scarce, landlords have little incentive to offer concessions, and the gap between asking and effective rent levels continue to narrow quickly.  For some metro specific trends, check out the latest WSJ article citing preliminary Q2 data from Reis.

 
 Despite the good news, there are risks on the horizon, namely increasing construction.  Developers have begun building properties to take advantage of the tight market conditions.  Unless there are delays, Reis expects about 70,000 units to come online in 2012, which is about twice as much as 2011, and even more units are slated to come online in 2013.  ReisReports will publish complete Q2 market reports for 200 metro areas on August 1. Continue to check our blog for more preliminary trends as well as special promotions for access to ReisReports.